What’s happening, as one record each.
Signal Bureau resolves every framing of the same event — a headline, a brief, a crowd question — into one record, the same way it resolves every alias of a name into one entity. These are the events it is tracking now, with honest coverage counts. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.
The standing watches
Curated event · 3,754 matched mentions · 60 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-08
Military action · 1,085 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-05
Diplomacy · 740 matched mentions · 32 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-01
Curated event · 470 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-03
Election · 418 matched mentions · 10 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-05
Curated event · 183 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Election · 114 matched mentions · 23 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-05
Curated event · 949 matched mentions · 6 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-02
Rate decision · 94 matched mentions · 33 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-06
Curated event · 19 matched mentions · 22 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-08
Curated event · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Economic indicator · 1 crowd question · dormant — last priced 2026-07-07
Auto-tracked events
Surfaced mechanically from news coverage — ranked by how much the world is covering them, not by market volume.
Disaster · 709 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Election · 123 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-08
Election · 143 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-07-30
Rate decision · 152 matched mentions · 30 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Product launch · 249 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Funding round · 17 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-01
Disaster · 24 matched mentions · 5 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-05
Funding round · 249 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-03
What the crowd is pricing
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing — price ladders and market clusters the crowd is actively pricing. We cite these as a consensus sensor, not events we’ve independently reported.
Election · 204 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · last seen 2026-07-31
Economic indicator · 350 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-02
Funding round · 6 matched mentions · 18 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-01
Economic indicator · 26 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Curated event · 302 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-08
Product launch · 17 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-05
Election · 481 matched mentions · 13 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-06
Election · 24 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-07-29
Election · 204 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-07-29
Election · 187 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Election · 20 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-07
Curated event · 55 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-08
Disaster · 140 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · last seen 2026-07-31
Rate decision · 11 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-01
Rate decision · 285 matched mentions · 5 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-01
Rate decision · 94 matched mentions · 5 crowd questions · last seen 2026-07-30
Dormant records
The crowd hasn’t priced these in over two weeks. The records stay — one event, one record, continuously maintained — but we won’t call them live when they aren’t. Each card shows when it was last priced.
Diplomacy · 43 matched mentions · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Funding round · 388 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-01
Funding round · 445 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-01
Military action · 601 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Economic indicator · 156 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-21
Legal ruling · 24 matched mentions · 1 crowd question · dormant — last priced 2026-07-20
Economic indicator · 508 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-18
Product launch · 388 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-24
Diplomacy · 601 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Economic indicator · 8 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-15
Economic indicator · 289 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Military action · 481 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Product launch · 445 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-07
Rate decision · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-16
Rate decision · 481 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Ceasefire & peace talks · 601 matched mentions · 10 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-09
Economic indicator · 321 matched mentions · 10 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-01
Economic indicator · 180 matched mentions · 10 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-30
Rate decision · 10 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-01
Ceasefire & peace talks · 481 matched mentions · 9 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-20
Economic indicator · 590 matched mentions · 9 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-28
Economic indicator · 277 matched mentions · 8 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-25
Election · 8 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-25
Economic indicator · 376 matched mentions · 7 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-28
Economic indicator · 359 matched mentions · 7 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-30
Product launch · 61 matched mentions · 6 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-27
Military action · 513 matched mentions · 4 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Price threshold · 281 matched mentions · 4 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Resignation · 601 matched mentions · 4 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Election · 41 matched mentions · 3 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Election · 107 matched mentions · 3 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Product launch · 45 matched mentions · 3 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-30
Resignation · 258 matched mentions · 3 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-22
Default & bankruptcy · 2,408 matched mentions · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-25
Election · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-25
Product launch · 78 matched mentions · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-12
Rate decision · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-06-27
Resignation · 602 matched mentions · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Crowd questions are cited as a public consensus sensor. Informational only — not advice.