Russia–Ukraine war
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-01.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/russia-ukraine-war (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
716
news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.
32
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 6 shown below.
7
time windows tracked — most active: December 2026.
645 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is December 2026.
In the coverage
A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- Trump renews push to oust Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook · Northeast Times · 2026-08-09
- Trump administration paying billions in taxpayer dollars to cancel wind energy contracts. How is this helping Americans? · Reddit r/energy · 2026-08-09
- Why Trump’s claim that offshore wind is a security risk is ‘ludicrous’. Offshore wind farms not only pose no threat — they provide national security benefits, as well as boosting the grid and economy, according to a panel of military experts. The administration’s rationale is "just plain wrong." · Reddit r/energy · 2026-08-08
- US job market stalled in July as employers cut 23,000 jobs, delivering political setback to Trump · apnews.com · 2026-08-08
- US Senate narrowly backs Trump's ally Blanche despite opposition · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-08-08
- US Senate clears Russia sanctions bill targeting India, China over oil trade · Reddit r/india · 2026-08-08
- Trump’s bid to curb ‘birth tourism’ faces fresh legal challenge · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-08-08
- Trump’s Vance Talk Sends 2028 GOP Markets Further Toward a Two-Man Race With Rubio · DeFi Rate · 2026-08-08
- Trump’s Growing Pro Golf Influence on Display at Bedminster · Front Office Sports · 2026-08-08
- Trump’s Critical Minerals Summit: Reshaping Western Supply Chains · Discovery Alert · 2026-08-08
- Trump’s Aussie diplomat bound for Canberra after Senate nod · AFR · 2026-08-08
- Trump's son-in-law Michael Boulos explores Alappuzha on private Kerala visit · India Today Economy · 2026-08-08
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.