Strait of Hormuz
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-07.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/strait-of-hormuz (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
192
news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.
25
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 6 shown below.
3
time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
2,269 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is 2026.
In the coverage
A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- U.S. Energy Helps Cushion Global Supply Shock From Hormuz · Oil Price · 2026-08-09
- Saudi Arabia Cuts Arab Light Price for Asia Amid Hormuz Shipping Talks · Global Trade Magazine · 2026-08-09
- Iran issues demands for reopening of Hormuz · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-09
- Iran Issues List of Demands, Dampening Hopes of Reopening Strait of Hormuz · The New York Times · 2026-08-09
- Watch Trump Says Hormuz Talks ‘Moving Along’ Even as Iran Mulls US Ban | The Opening Trade 8/7/2026 · Bloomberg.com · 2026-08-08
- US expects deal soon on Strait of Hormuz; Sunni powers unite in defense pact · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-08
- UAE says Iran attacked ADNOC vessel with missile in Strait of Hormuz · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-08
- Iran, Oman make progress toward deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-08-08
- Iran, Oman deal on Strait of Hormuz getting close, Tehran says · cbsnews.com · 2026-08-08
- Iran sets six conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz · Tehran Times (state-aligned — contrast source) · 2026-08-08
- Iran says deal on Strait of Hormuz is close but will not open the waterway by itself · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-08
- Iran Says Hormuz Stays Closed Until U.S. Meets Six Sweeping Demands · Oil Price · 2026-08-08
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.