Rate decision · curated

Fed rate decisions

One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-09-18.

This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/fed-rate-decision (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.

Matched mentions in window

274

news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.

Crowd questions

37

Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 6 shown below.

Windows

8

Time windows tracked — most active: September 2026.

When the activity clusters1,979 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is September 2026.
When the activity clusters
AreaMentions
September 2026553
October 2026448
December 2026445
2027467
March 20275
April 20275
June 202751
July 20275
WHO THIS INVOLVES

In the coverage

A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.

What the crowd is asking

Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.

RELATED EVENTS

The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-09-26 · live snapshot.