U.S. recession risk, 2026
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-07-07.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/us-recession-2026 (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
Dormant record: the crowd hasn’t priced this since 2026-07-07. The record stays maintained; the prices and questions below reflect that last-priced date, not today.
0
no independently joined news yet — our news-to-event join is conservative, so this reads as crowd pricing only.
1
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now.
1
time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.