Curated event · curated

Gaza ceasefire

One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-03-29; last seen 2026-09-20.

This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/gaza-ceasefire (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.

Matched mentions in window

458

news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.

Crowd questions

5

Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 1 shown below.

Windows

3

Time windows tracked — most active: 2026.

When the activity clusters418 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is 2026.
When the activity clusters
AreaMentions
2026313
September 202625
202780
WHO THIS INVOLVES
gaza →israel →

In the coverage

A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.

What the crowd is asking

Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?
view contract at the venue → · last crowd price 0.45% (2026-05-24)
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The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-09-26 · live snapshot.