Ceasefire & peace talks: iran
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-07-09.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/ceasefire-peace-iran (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
Dormant record: the crowd hasn’t priced this since 2026-07-09. The record stays maintained; the prices and questions below reflect that last-priced date, not today.
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing: we cite the crowd’s questions here as a consensus sensor, not as an event we’ve independently reported.
583
news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.
10
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 1 shown below.
1
time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
In the coverage
Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- Why is there fighting in Yemen and what does it mean for the Iran war? · CNN · 2026-08-09
- US, Israeli military chiefs meet as Israel weighs solo strikes on Iran: Report · Türkiye Today · 2026-08-09
- Live Updates: Latest from Israel, Iran, and Middle East · The Jerusalem Post · 2026-08-09
- Iran makes new strait demands, the UAE says a ship was targeted and other Middle East news · CTV News · 2026-08-09
- Iran issues demands for reopening of Hormuz · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-09
- Iran Issues List of Demands, Dampening Hopes of Reopening Strait of Hormuz · The New York Times · 2026-08-09
- America Must Let Go of the Middle East: The Failed Iran War Should Spur a Long-Overdue Withdrawal · Reddit r/geopolitics · 2026-08-09
- What leverage could the Iranian regime have in 5 years if Israel/US keep mowing the grass? · Reddit r/geopolitics · 2026-08-08
- Watch Trump Says Hormuz Talks ‘Moving Along’ Even as Iran Mulls US Ban | The Opening Trade 8/7/2026 · Bloomberg.com · 2026-08-08
- US sanctions Dubai crypto exchange for aiding Iran’s IRGC · Al Arabiya English · 2026-08-08
- UAE says Iran attacked ADNOC vessel with missile in Strait of Hormuz · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-08
- Trump’s top general seeks ‘off-ramp’ as Iran war exposes limits of US military power · Tehran Times (state-aligned — contrast source) · 2026-08-08
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.