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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Climate

The long-term pattern of global temperatures and weather; shorthand for climate change and the policy response to it.

Coverage of Climate is holding steady : 21 signals on the latest tracked day, down 64% from its three-week baseline of 58, across 7 domains (down from 11 a week ago). That makes it the #48 most-covered of the 274 concerns we track.

Climate is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 58 signals a day across 7 domains (45 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 73+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 7. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our Energy Desk.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran below the three-week baseline — a sustained cooling, not a one-day dip.

What the reporting says

Across 503 tracked stories from 125 outlets, reporting on Climate most often describes disaster (45), public statements (17), launches or releases (13), military action (12), meetings or visits (6), elections (4).

It shows up alongside Wildfire (68), AI (66), Renewable Energy (54), China (45), Oil (40), France (39), Trump (39), UN (38).

Two steps out: Amazon (through AI, 66 shared stories on the weaker link); Anthropic (through AI, 66 shared stories on the weaker link); European Union (through AI, 66 shared stories on the weaker link); Google (through AI, 66 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 25, with coverage on 31 separate days — concentrated in Disaster.

Ask the engine about Climate + Track Climate for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jun 24 – Aug 8, 45 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 8, 10:24 PM PT