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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Hurricane

A rotating tropical storm with sustained winds above 74 mph; tracked for landfall, damage, and insurance losses.

Coverage of Hurricane is rising : 75 signals on the latest tracked day, up 241% from its three-week baseline of 22, across 4 domains (unchanged from a week ago). That makes it the #7 most-covered of the 274 concerns we track.

If Hurricane matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 195 tracked stories from 28 outlets, reporting on Hurricane most often describes disaster (109), launches or releases (9), public statements (5), meetings or visits (3), military action (2), regulatory approvals (2).

It shows up alongside Climate (21), Wildfire (13), AI (10), United States (9), Japan (8).

Two steps out: China (through Climate, 21 shared stories on the weaker link); European Union (through Climate, 21 shared stories on the weaker link); France (through Climate, 21 shared stories on the weaker link); Oil (through Climate, 21 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jul 10, with coverage on 13 separate days — concentrated in Extreme Weather and Weather Climate.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?” fell 15 points between Jun 25 and Aug 8, from 33% to 18%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
Ask the engine about Hurricane + Track Hurricane for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jun 24 – Aug 8, 40 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 8, 8:12 PM PT