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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

AI

Artificial Intelligence — Computer systems that perform tasks that normally require human intelligence — language, vision, prediction, reasoning.

Coverage of AI is holding steady : 256 signals on the latest tracked day, down 3% from its three-week baseline of 263, across 23 domains (down from 109 a week ago). That makes it the #12 most-covered of the 337 concerns we track.

AI is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 263 signals a day across 23 domains (46 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 328+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 23. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our AI & Compute Desk.

What’s changed

6 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 11,264 tracked stories from 842 outlets, reporting on AI most often describes launches or releases (522), public statements (469), meetings or visits (211), funding rounds (205), acquisition (199), military action (127).

It shows up alongside OpenAI (1841 — acquisition ×5, meetings or visits ×2), Anthropic (1673 — acquisition ×5, meetings or visits ×3), Google (1471 — acquisition ×4, meetings or visits ×3), China (1467 — meetings or visits ×20, sanctions or trade ×6), Papers (1076), Citation (1013), Citations (998), Explorer (981).

Two steps out: Flower (through Papers, 1076 shared stories on the weaker link); Huggingface (through Papers, 1076 shared stories on the weaker link); Pdf Html (through Papers, 1076 shared stories on the weaker link); United States (through China, 983 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Feb 25, with coverage on 194 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 12 – Sep 26, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 26, 6:14 PM PT