{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"product-launch-falcon-spacex","title":"The Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"falcon","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"falcon\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: starlink — the registry attaches it to this event, but the subject line does not name it.","candidatesConsidered":["falcon","spacex","spacex falcon","starlink"],"alsoDefensible":["spacex","spacex falcon"],"rejected":["starlink"],"actionClass":"launch-release"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-26","currency":{"state":"not-reliably-current","asOf":"2026-09-21","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-26","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-21","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":5,"expectedCadenceDays":2,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 11 active day(s) over a 19-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is not reliably current: nothing new has been observed since 2026-09-21, 5 days ago, against its expected cadence of about one item every 2 days."},"generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/product-launch-falcon-spacex and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/product-launch-falcon-spacex so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"falcon\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 5 attributable rows sampled for \"falcon\", 4 served, 1 withheld as not shown to be about \"Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":5,"served":4,"withheldNotEventRelevant":1,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["product","launch","spacex"],"questionSet":[]},"items":[{"title":"Launch Preview: Electron, Falcon 9, and Starship set for launches","url":"https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/launch-preview-092126/","date":"2026-09-21","source":"NASASpaceflight","eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Launch Preview: Soyuz, CZ-8A, and Falcon 9 to launch from sites around the world","url":"https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/launch-preview-090726/","date":"2026-09-07","source":"NASASpaceflight","eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"'No guts, no glory': How I captured NASA's Roman Space Telescope cross the sun on a picture-perfect SpaceX Falcon Heavy launch","url":"https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/no-guts-no-glory-how-i-captured-nasas-roman-space-telescope-cross-the-sun-on-a-picture-perfect-spacex-falcon-heavy-launch","date":"2026-08-31","source":"Space.com","eventTerms":["launch","spacex"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Liftoff! NASA's Roman Space Telescope soars to the stars on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket in spectacular launch (video)","url":"https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/nasa-roman-space-telescope-launch-success-on-a-spacex-falcon-heavy-rocket-spectacular-launch-video","date":"2026-08-30","source":"Space.com","eventTerms":["launch","spacex"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":481,"outlets":118,"activeDays":11,"firstSeen":"2026-09-03","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-09-03","end":"2026-09-21","activeDays":11,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 11 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":312,"outlets":90,"activeDays":74,"since":"2026-03-21","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"],"asserts":{"launch-release":124,"sports-outcome":18,"funding-round":6,"military-action":6,"utterance":5,"price-threshold":2},"assertionCoverage":0.542,"movesWith":[{"name":"spacex","together":206,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"spacex falcon","together":87,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"earth","together":99,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"nasa","together":96,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"space force","together":93,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"cape canaveral","together":54,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"launch complex","together":51,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"kennedy space center","together":48,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]}],"movesWithLabels":["spacex","spacex falcon","earth","nasa","space force","cape canaveral","launch complex","kennedy space center"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":26,"periods":[{"period":"2026-09","mentions":26}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"falcon\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX","slug":"product-launch-falcon-spacex","questionCount":0,"questions":[],"mentions":26,"firstSeen":"2026-09-03","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"falcon\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: starlink — the registry attaches it to this event, but the subject line does not name it. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-26T15:13:20.917747+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-26T15:13:20.917747+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"}]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"templated-from-structure","whatThisIs":"A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 8 domains, including Space Industry, World Wires and AASD Trade.","whyTracked":"We hold 481 documents from 118 outlets over 11 active days. It runs through 8 coverage domains we watch, including Space Industry, World Wires, AASD Trade.","coverageSince":{"date":"2026-09-03","status":"observed","text":"Our first document on this subject is dated Sep 3, 2026; the count above is everything since."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about falcon.","118 outlets in our declared source universe — not the whole internet."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["a claim carried by three or more separate publishers"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","at least one market question bound to this record"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","passed":true},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":false}]},"stateNote":"No written definition yet — this line is generated from what we hold, so it cannot claim more than the record does."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What independent sources agree on","state":"corroborated","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-20","end":"2026-09-26"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":1046,"corroborated":2,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":24,"clustersWithClaimUrl":60,"originsWithReceiptUrl":451,"originsPublished":454,"recordRows":8,"singleSource":6},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":0,"note":"8 claims about this subject are on the maintained record for the window Sep 20, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026 — 2 carried by three or more separate publishers, 6 carried by one and labelled single-source. The count is of publishers, not of truth: many outlets echoing one official statement is a wide echo, not a second check.","singleSourceVisible":true,"rows":[{"id":"54a9043a30a7","clusterKey":"54a9043a30a7","claim":"BetMGM Bonus Code COVERS: Make a First Bet on Falcons-Pakcers or Week 3 NFL, Get Up To $1,500 If It Loses","claimUrl":"https://www.covers.com/daily-promos/bet365-bonus-code-nfl-9-20-2026","tier":"strong","tierLabel":"Cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":4,"origins":["covers.com","defirate.com","foxnews.com","nypost.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-20","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"4 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"924efe562534","clusterKey":"924efe562534","claim":"Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says","claimUrl":"https://cryptobriefing.com/poland-suspects-hybrid-warfare-after-starlink-station-fire-amid-nato-tensions/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["cryptobriefing.com","euronews.com","en.tempo.co"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-24","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"aed978f61e35","clusterKey":"aed978f61e35","claim":"Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Will Lead AI Race Over OpenAI and Anthropic Within Six Months","claimUrl":"https://cryptobriefing.com/spacex-ai-model-gpt-6-level-musk/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"origins":["cryptobriefing.com","tekedia.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-25","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"2 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"eb42ad003684","clusterKey":"eb42ad003684","claim":"A crater of our own making: what the SpaceX lunar impact reveals about the future of Moon governance","claimUrl":"https://www.thespacereview.com/article/5316/1","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"origins":["the space review","thespacereview.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"2 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"2510130c471d","clusterKey":"2510130c471d","claim":"Exolaunch, Space Cargo book Starship Starfall missions","claimUrl":"https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/exolaunch-space-cargo-starship-starfall/","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One publisher. Nothing separate has carried it.","independentOrigins":1,"origins":["nasaspaceflight.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"1 separate publisher","marketLine":null},{"id":"9b4a282d6729","clusterKey":"9b4a282d6729","claim":"EXCLUSIVE: SpaceX given unique access to classified DoD space tracking data, sources say","claimUrl":"https://breakingdefense.com/2026/09/exclusive-spacex-given-unique-access-to-classified-dod-space-tracking-data-sources-say/","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One publisher. Nothing separate has carried it.","independentOrigins":1,"origins":["breakingdefense.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-23","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"1 separate publisher","marketLine":null},{"id":"b3c414c10ec3","clusterKey":"b3c414c10ec3","claim":"SpaceX’s Super Heavy booster arrives at pad ahead of first orbital Starship launch","claimUrl":"https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/09/21/spacexs-super-heavy-booster-arrives-at-pad-ahead-of-first-orbital-starship-launch/","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One publisher. Nothing separate has carried it.","independentOrigins":1,"origins":["spaceflightnow.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"1 separate publisher","marketLine":null},{"id":"b607520931fb","clusterKey":"b607520931fb","claim":"Falcons vs. Packers Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, NFL Betting Promos, Picks & Predictions","claimUrl":"https://sportshandle.com/falcons-vs-packers-anytime-touchdown-scorer-odds-nfl-betting-promos-picks-predictions/","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One publisher. Nothing separate has carried it.","independentOrigins":1,"origins":["sportshandle.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-25","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"1 separate publisher","marketLine":null}]},"primaryDocuments":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[],"key":"primaryDocuments","heading":"What the issuing authorities publish","undatedCount":0,"undatedNote":null},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","heading":"What prediction markets price","state":"no-market-bound","joinPerformed":true,"eventSlug":"product-launch-falcon-spacex","counts":{"eventReceipts":0,"entityCaptures":0,"served":0,"live":0,"expired":0},"newestPriceStamp":null,"venueStatusNote":null,"note":"No market rows ride this record right now. We joined this record's event (\"product-launch-falcon-spacex\") against the venue receipts and against our own priced captures, and both came back empty — that is a count, not a gap.","rows":[],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 11 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"],"state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":481,"outlets":118,"activeDays":11,"firstSeen":"2026-09-03","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-09-03","end":"2026-09-21","activeDays":11,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 11 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":312,"outlets":90,"activeDays":74,"since":"2026-03-21","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"],"asserts":{"launch-release":124,"sports-outcome":18,"funding-round":6,"military-action":6,"utterance":5,"price-threshold":2},"assertionCoverage":0.542,"movesWith":[{"name":"spacex","together":206,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"spacex falcon","together":87,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"earth","together":99,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"nasa","together":96,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"space force","together":93,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"cape canaveral","together":54,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"launch complex","together":51,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"kennedy space center","together":48,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]}],"movesWithLabels":["spacex","spacex falcon","earth","nasa","space force","cape canaveral","launch complex","kennedy space center"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","status":"measured","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":26,"periods":[{"period":"2026-09","mentions":26}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"cannot-measure","directionWord":"insufficient_history","glyph":""},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours — never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"measured","count":8,"text":"Independent sources agree on 8 things about Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX in the current window: “BetMGM Bonus Code COVERS: Make a First Bet on Falcons-Pakcers or Week 3 NFL, Get Up To $1,500 If It Loses” (4 separate publishers, earliest Sep 20, 2026); “Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says” (3 separate publishers, earliest Sep 24, 2026), and 6 more on the record."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 4 recorded changes for Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},"divergence":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the market sensor","text":"We cannot show a divergence: no market question is bound to this record, so there is no outside sensor to set beside our claims."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"6 corroborated claim rows","why":"shown on the claims section rather than repeated in the read"},{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"BetMGM Bonus Code COVERS: Make a First Bet on Falcons-Pakcers or Week 3 NFL, Get Up To $1,500 If It Loses","asOf":"2026-09-20"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says","asOf":"2026-09-24"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Will Lead AI Race Over OpenAI and Anthropic Within Six Months","asOf":"2026-09-25"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What independent sources agree on","state":"measured","count":8,"text":"Independent sources agree on 8 things about Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX in the current window: “BetMGM Bonus Code COVERS: Make a First Bet on Falcons-Pakcers or Week 3 NFL, Get Up To $1,500 If It Loses” (4 separate publishers, earliest Sep 20, 2026); “Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says” (3 separate publishers, earliest Sep 24, 2026), and 6 more on the record."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 4 recorded changes for Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the market sensor","text":"We cannot show a divergence: no market question is bound to this record, so there is no outside sensor to set beside our claims."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Held as provenance","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"measured","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"cannot-measure","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds 4 recorded changes for Product launch: Falcon & SpaceX, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact.","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-26T15:13:20.917747+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-26T15:13:20.917747+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"}]},"verify":{"key":"verify","heading":"Verify it yourself","state":"measured","rest":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/product-launch-falcon-spacex","mcp":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \\\n  -d '{\"jsonrpc\":\"2.0\",\"id\":1,\"method\":\"tools/call\",\"params\":{\"name\":\"get_truth_object\",\"arguments\":{\"topic\":\"product-launch-falcon-spacex\"}}}'","resource":null,"page":null,"note":"This page, GET /api/truth/product-launch-falcon-spacex and the get_truth_object tool are assembled by one builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading."},"limits":{"key":"limits","heading":"What this record does not tell you","state":"measured","derived":[{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. 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