{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"funding-round-anduril","title":"The Funding round: Anduril record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/funding-round-anduril and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/funding-round-anduril so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Anduril in talks to raise funding at about $100 billion valuation","url":"https://www.defensenews.com/industry/techwatch/2026/07/24/anduril-in-talks-to-raise-funding-at-about-100-billion-valuation/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Defense Business Brief: Rocket engine startup eyes production; NATO Summit Day 1; Anduril’s first NATO contract","url":"https://www.defenseone.com/business/2026/07/defense-business-brief-rocket-engine-startup-eyes-production-nato-summit-day-1-andurils-first-nato-contract/414668/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"First Anduril YFQ-44A rolls off production line for US CCA program","url":"https://www.defensenews.com/industry/techwatch/2026/07/28/first-anduril-yfq-44a-rolls-off-production-line-for-us-cca-program/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by August 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-andurils-valuation-hit-by-august-31-20260730183357870","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":48,"outlets":23,"activeDays":33,"firstSeen":"2026-04-25","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["aerospace_defense","defense_procurement","defense_aerospace"],"asserts":{"meeting-visit":5,"funding-round":2,"launch-release":1,"acquisition":1,"utterance":1,"award":1},"assertionCoverage":0.229,"movesWith":[{"label":"lockheed martin","n":15,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"label":"northrop grumman","n":13,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"label":"pentagon","n":13,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"label":"rtx","n":10,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"label":"nuclear","n":12,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"ai","n":8,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"iran","n":8,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":990,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":50},{"period":"2026","mentions":940}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[{"question":"Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by August 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-andurils-valuation-hit-by-august-31-20260730183357870","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":88,"change24hPct":44.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-02","deadline":"2026-08-31","deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Funding round: Anduril","slug":"funding-round-anduril","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?","Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?","Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?","Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation on June 30?"],"mentions":990,"firstSeen":"2026-05-29","lastSeen":"2026-08-01"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-25T15:00:16.995106+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-25T15:00:16.995106+00:00"}]}}}