{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-senate","title":"The Election: Senate record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-senate and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-senate so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Ag stakeholders react to Democrats’ rebuke of Senate committee’s farm bill text","url":"https://www.agdaily.com/news/ag-stakeholders-react-democrats-rebuke-senate-committee-farm-bill-text/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Trump’s Aussie diplomat bound for Canberra after Senate nod","url":"https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/trump-s-aussie-diplomat-bound-for-canberra-after-senate-nod-20260807-p60m74?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Senate adjourns with no vote on Clarity Act","url":"https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2026/08/senate-adjourns-with-no-vote-on-clarity-act/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Senate confirms Crews to NCUA board","url":"https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2026/08/senate-confirms-crews-to-ncua-board/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":362,"outlets":92,"activeDays":49,"firstSeen":"2026-03-18","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["crypto_defi"],"asserts":{"election":59,"regulatory-approval":8,"utterance":7,"military-action":5,"launch-release":4,"sanction-trade":4},"assertionCoverage":0.265,"movesWith":[{"label":"trump","n":127,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"congress","n":109,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"crypto","n":49,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"label":"clarity act","n":45,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"label":"iran","n":36,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"pentagon","n":36,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"united states","n":32,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"abdul el-sayed","n":28,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":117,"reading":"Our coverage of Election: Senate is 117% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":85,"eventMentions":4344,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":4344}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Senate","slug":"election-senate","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?","Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?","Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?"],"mentions":4344,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-08-08"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-27T15:37:45.852260+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-02T15:08:36.484814+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-02T15:08:36.484814+00:00"}]}}}