{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-russia","title":"The Election: Russia record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-russia and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-russia so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Rosatom says seven Chinese vessels will sail to Europe via Russia’s Arctic route","url":"https://www.rcinet.ca/eye-on-the-arctic/2026/08/07/rosatom-says-seven-chinese-vessels-will-sail-to-europe-via-russias-arctic-route/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"The Week in Trade: New Russian sanctions push, US-China export controls spat and tariff challenges filed - The Chartered Institute of Export & International Trade","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi4wFBVV95cUxPeldnc0MwUnBlQWtCSDQwTmh0c3k2aTh3MjVMc0VYcFJUbmhnX0J6Y3NzckVBaHdIbjlzamNLQm1MWGZMYmIyOEJrZGwzYjZ2bGp6dEpZNkl0dHBiRFU2b1dia1VzR2xHRkdYXzhWOVdYNU5NSzg0S3JoNlRHWDdkMVBQUFpmb0pod3VNM05nelljaUZIWkRESWtHakYzaGNycHBsODNOZUtGeExWQVV6NXlrWVU4RUpfTFk3X0Q3MFE5Ti1wVUJ5bDdHT1d2YVNqNl96ZFRsY2J0a0FpckxJckJURQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Russia cracks down on unlicensed crypto exchanges it claims are linked to Ukraine","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/08/07/russia-cracks-down-on-unlicensed-crypto-exchanges-it-claims-are-linked-to-ukraine","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Russia cracks down on 9 crypto exchanges in Moscow City","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/russia-shuts-down-crypto-exchanges-moscow-city?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Putin Signs Russia's First Crypto Law: Trading Is Legal, Payments Stay Banned","url":"https://decrypt.co/375062/putin-signs-russia-first-crypto-trading-payments","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":639,"outlets":105,"activeDays":53,"firstSeen":"1993-12-16","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["cloud_computing"],"asserts":{"military-action":70,"disaster":34,"utterance":33,"meeting-visit":19,"launch-release":13,"sanction-trade":13},"assertionCoverage":0.336,"movesWith":[{"label":"microsoft","n":145,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"cms","n":138,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"iran","n":276,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"china","n":264,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":2}},{"label":"ukraine","n":227,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"nvidia","n":99,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"ai","n":166,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"oil","n":112,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":0,"reading":"Our coverage of Election: Russia is 0% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":89,"eventMentions":1225,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":1225}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[{"question":"Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-pokrovka-by","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":96,"change24hPct":86.8,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-07-14","deadline":"2026-07-31","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","status":"historical capture — deadline passed, kept as recorded; final resolution at the venue"},{"question":"Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-krasnoiarske-by-march-31","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":87,"change24hPct":83.6,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-07-22","deadline":"2026-07-31","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","status":"historical capture — deadline passed, kept as recorded; final resolution at the venue"}],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Russia","slug":"election-russia","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"],"mentions":1225,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-08-07"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-27T15:37:45.852260+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-08T15:01:41.302777+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00"}]}}}