{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-parliament-russia","title":"The Election: Parliament & Russia record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-parliament-russia and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-parliament-russia so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Rosatom says seven Chinese vessels will sail to Europe via Russia’s Arctic route","url":"https://www.rcinet.ca/eye-on-the-arctic/2026/08/07/rosatom-says-seven-chinese-vessels-will-sail-to-europe-via-russias-arctic-route/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"The Week in Trade: New Russian sanctions push, US-China export controls spat and tariff challenges filed - The Chartered Institute of Export & International Trade","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi4wFBVV95cUxPeldnc0MwUnBlQWtCSDQwTmh0c3k2aTh3MjVMc0VYcFJUbmhnX0J6Y3NzckVBaHdIbjlzamNLQm1MWGZMYmIyOEJrZGwzYjZ2bGp6dEpZNkl0dHBiRFU2b1dia1VzR2xHRkdYXzhWOVdYNU5NSzg0S3JoNlRHWDdkMVBQUFpmb0pod3VNM05nelljaUZIWkRESWtHakYzaGNycHBsODNOZUtGeExWQVV6NXlrWVU4RUpfTFk3X0Q3MFE5Ti1wVUJ5bDdHT1d2YVNqNl96ZFRsY2J0a0FpckxJckJURQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Russia cracks down on unlicensed crypto exchanges it claims are linked to Ukraine","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/08/07/russia-cracks-down-on-unlicensed-crypto-exchanges-it-claims-are-linked-to-ukraine","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Russia cracks down on 9 crypto exchanges in Moscow City","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/russia-shuts-down-crypto-exchanges-moscow-city?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Putin Signs Russia's First Crypto Law: Trading Is Legal, Payments Stay Banned","url":"https://decrypt.co/375062/putin-signs-russia-first-crypto-trading-payments","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":639,"outlets":105,"activeDays":53,"firstSeen":"1993-12-16","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["cloud_computing"],"asserts":{"military-action":70,"disaster":34,"utterance":33,"meeting-visit":19,"launch-release":13,"sanction-trade":13},"assertionCoverage":0.336,"movesWith":[{"label":"microsoft","n":145,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"cms","n":138,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"iran","n":276,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"china","n":264,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":2}},{"label":"ukraine","n":227,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"nvidia","n":99,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"ai","n":166,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"oil","n":112,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":0,"reading":"Our coverage of Election: Parliament & Russia is 0% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":89,"eventMentions":776,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":776}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[{"question":"Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-pokrovka-by","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":96,"change24hPct":86.8,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-07-14","deadline":"2026-07-31","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","status":"historical capture — deadline passed, kept as recorded; final resolution at the venue"},{"question":"Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-krasnoiarske-by-march-31","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":87,"change24hPct":83.6,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-07-22","deadline":"2026-07-31","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","status":"historical capture — deadline passed, kept as recorded; final resolution at the venue"}],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Parliament & Russia","slug":"election-parliament-russia","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will United Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?","Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?","Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?","Will United Russia win the next Karelia Parliament elections?"],"mentions":776,"firstSeen":"2026-07-28","lastSeen":"2026-07-29"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-27T15:37:45.852260+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-08T15:01:41.302777+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00"}]}}}