{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"brazil-election","title":"The Brazil's election record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"brazil","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"brazil\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Brazil's election\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: amazon, senate, trump — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them.","candidatesConsidered":["amazon","brazil","senate","trump"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":["amazon","senate","trump"],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-26","currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-24","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-26","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-24","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":2,"expectedCadenceDays":18,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 7 active day(s) over a 124-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-24, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 18 days."},"generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/brazil-election and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/brazil-election so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"brazil\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 5 attributable rows sampled for \"brazil\", 1 served, 4 withheld as not shown to be about \"Brazil's election\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":5,"served":1,"withheldNotEventRelevant":4,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election","bolsonaro","presidential","lula"],"questionSet":["favored","october","flips","president","september","luiz","cio","silva","jair","michelle","eduardo"]},"items":[{"title":"Brazil's President Lula bans online betting ahead of presidential election","url":"https://www.france24.com/en/brazil-s-president-lula-bans-online-betting-ahead-of-presidential-election","date":"2026-09-26","source":"AFP (France24)","eventTerms":["election","presidential","lula"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":1213,"outlets":388,"activeDays":7,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-05-24","end":"2026-09-24","activeDays":7,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 7 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":703,"outlets":201,"activeDays":42,"since":"2026-06-25","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"meeting-visit":40,"utterance":20,"military-action":16,"election":16,"sports-outcome":15,"sanction-trade":14},"assertionCoverage":0.269,"movesWith":[{"name":"china","together":266},{"name":"india","together":206},{"name":"united states","together":178},{"name":"africa","together":175},{"name":"russia","together":163},{"name":"ai","together":156},{"name":"iran","together":131},{"name":"canadian","together":125}],"movesWithLabels":["china","india","united states","africa","russia","ai","iran","canadian"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":12706,"periods":[{"period":"2026-09","mentions":33},{"period":"2026","mentions":12673}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"brazil\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Brazil's election","slug":"brazil-election","questionCount":14,"questions":["Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?","Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"],"mentions":12706,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"brazil\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Brazil's election\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: amazon, senate, trump — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"brazil\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"templated-from-structure","whatThisIs":"A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 15 domains, including World Wires, Textiles and Business.","whyTracked":"We hold 1213 documents from 388 outlets over 7 active days. It runs through 15 coverage domains we watch, including World Wires, Textiles, Business. 14 market questions price outcomes under the event bound to it.","coverageSince":{"date":"2026-05-24","status":"observed","text":"Our first document on this subject is dated May 24, 2026; the count above is everything since."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about brazil.","388 outlets in our declared source universe — not the whole internet.","Market prices are the venue's number, cited and graded as an outside sensor. We publish no probability of our own on this record."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","at least one market question bound to this record"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","passed":true},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":true}]},"stateNote":"No written definition yet — this line is generated from what we hold, so it cannot claim more than the record does."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What independent sources agree on","state":"corroborated","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-20","end":"2026-09-26"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":1046,"corroborated":12,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":24,"clustersWithClaimUrl":60,"originsWithReceiptUrl":451,"originsPublished":454,"recordRows":12,"singleSource":0},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":63,"note":"12 claims about this subject are on the maintained record for the window Sep 20, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026 — 12 carried by three or more separate publishers, 0 carried by one and labelled single-source. 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A price is the venue's number, cited as one outside sensor and graded against how reality resolved; it is never a probability of ours.","rows":[{"question":"Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/lula-or-bolsonaro-favored-on-october-3","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":12.5,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-03","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/lula-flips-bolsonaro-for-brazil-president-by-september-30","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":10.65,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-01","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":44.5,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-04","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-jair-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":0.05,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-04","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-michelle-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":0.05,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-04","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-eduardo-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":0.05,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-10-04","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"}],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Brazil's election has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 7 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"],"state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":1213,"outlets":388,"activeDays":7,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-05-24","end":"2026-09-24","activeDays":7,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 7 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":703,"outlets":201,"activeDays":42,"since":"2026-06-25","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"meeting-visit":40,"utterance":20,"military-action":16,"election":16,"sports-outcome":15,"sanction-trade":14},"assertionCoverage":0.269,"movesWith":[{"name":"china","together":266},{"name":"india","together":206},{"name":"united states","together":178},{"name":"africa","together":175},{"name":"russia","together":163},{"name":"ai","together":156},{"name":"iran","together":131},{"name":"canadian","together":125}],"movesWithLabels":["china","india","united states","africa","russia","ai","iran","canadian"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","status":"measured","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":12706,"periods":[{"period":"2026-09","mentions":33},{"period":"2026","mentions":12673}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"cannot-measure","directionWord":"insufficient_history","glyph":""},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours — never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"measured","count":12,"text":"Independent sources agree on 12 things about Brazil's election in the current window: “Trump greets China’s Xi at airport in historic move — as nations agree to trade truce to kick off high-stakes DC visit” (53 separate publishers · 5 wires (AP, Bloomberg, Reuters, TASS, Xinhua), earliest Sep 20, 2026); “Trump welcomes China's Xi for state dinner at White House after touting \"truly great friendship\"” (22 separate publishers · 1 wire (AP), earliest Sep 20, 2026), and 10 more on the record."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds no recorded change for Brazil's election. We do not backfill history we did not record."},"divergence":{"state":"measured","text":"Side by side, unreconciled: a venue prices “Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?” at 10.65% (polymarket, Sep 26, 2026), while our own record holds 12 claims carried by three or more separate publishers. The price is the venue's number and we publish it as one; we do not blend it into ours, and we hold no probability of our own on this record."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"10 corroborated claim rows","why":"shown on the claims section rather than repeated in the read"},{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"},{"input":"entity priced captures","why":"our own sweep captured no priced row for this subject; the market rows here come from the event's venue receipts"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Trump greets China’s Xi at airport in historic move — as nations agree to trade truce to kick off high-stakes DC visit","asOf":"2026-09-20"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Trump welcomes China's Xi for state dinner at White House after touting \"truly great friendship\"","asOf":"2026-09-20"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Denmark and Greenland say US military agreement will not compromise Arctic territory’s sovereignty","asOf":"2026-09-20"},{"kind":"market sensor","text":"Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30? — 10.65% (polymarket)","asOf":"2026-09-26"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What independent sources agree on","state":"measured","count":12,"text":"Independent sources agree on 12 things about Brazil's election in the current window: “Trump greets China’s Xi at airport in historic move — as nations agree to trade truce to kick off high-stakes DC visit” (53 separate publishers · 5 wires (AP, Bloomberg, Reuters, TASS, Xinhua), earliest Sep 20, 2026); “Trump welcomes China's Xi for state dinner at White House after touting \"truly great friendship\"” (22 separate publishers · 1 wire (AP), earliest Sep 20, 2026), and 10 more on the record."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds no recorded change for Brazil's election. We do not backfill history we did not record."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"measured","text":"Side by side, unreconciled: a venue prices “Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?” at 10.65% (polymarket, Sep 26, 2026), while our own record holds 12 claims carried by three or more separate publishers. The price is the venue's number and we publish it as one; we do not blend it into ours, and we hold no probability of our own on this record."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Held as provenance","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"measured","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"measured","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"none-recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds no recorded change for Brazil's election. We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]},"verify":{"key":"verify","heading":"Verify it yourself","state":"measured","rest":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/brazil-election","mcp":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \\\n  -d '{\"jsonrpc\":\"2.0\",\"id\":1,\"method\":\"tools/call\",\"params\":{\"name\":\"get_truth_object\",\"arguments\":{\"topic\":\"brazil-election\"}}}'","resource":null,"page":null,"note":"This page, GET /api/truth/brazil-election and the get_truth_object tool are assembled by one builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading."},"limits":{"key":"limits","heading":"What this record does not tell you","state":"measured","derived":[{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Brazil's election has"},{"section":"ourAttention","text":"How closely we are watching: we could not measure it."},{"section":"ourRead.firstParty","text":"What the issuing authorities say: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the first-party read. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.singleSource","text":"What rests on one source: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the single-source tier. We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"section":"ourRead.contradicted","text":"What contradicts: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is no polarity-comparable pair. We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.heldAsProvenance","text":"Held as provenance: we could not measure it. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"standing":[],"note":"6 sections on this record came back \"we could not look\". Each is named below with the pass that failed, generated from the section's own state rather than typed here."},"provenance":{"key":"provenance","heading":"Where this record comes from","state":"measured","asOf":"2026-09-26","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","recordVersion":"sb.tr-f80b1dc3","releaseId":null,"builtAt":null,"releaseState":"cannot-measure","releaseNote":"the release manifest is a deploy-time asset (/release.json), stamped on the served response, never bundled into the record at build time","slaRow":null,"slaNote":"No freshness clock is registered for this record's own inputs yet; the sections above each carry the date they speak for."},"record":{"schema":"sb.truth-record.v1","slug":"brazil-election","kind":"event","subjectState":"active","tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim","no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"tierChangedAt":"2026-09-07","previousTier":"standard","subject":{"label":"Brazil's election","aliases":["bolsonaro","brazil","brazil election","brazil presidential election","brazil's election","brazil-election","brazilian election","lula","senate","trump"],"eventKey":"brazil-election","entityKeys":["brazil","brazil election","brazil-election","senate","trump"],"mergedSlugs":[],"eventSlugs":["brazil-election"]},"definition":{"whatThisIs":"Brazil's election is an event Signal Bureau maintains a record of (election). The record joins 1213 document(s) from 388 outlet(s) in the corpus.","whyTracked":"Registered in the publication registry, which is deny-by-default: a subject is served only once it is registered.","coverageSince":"2026-05-24","coverageSinceBasis":"first counted document (event-graph)","coverageSinceState":"measured","coverageSinceReason":null,"coverageSinceAlternates":[{"date":"2026-07-16","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"notCovered":["No probability of ours: this record reports what sources and markets say, and grades them. It does not forecast.","No primary-source layer is registered for this subject, so no first-party document is read for it.","The calibration referee has graded nothing on this subject, so no accuracy record is shown."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim","no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":[{"clusterKey":"714b9e7d0805","claim":"Trump greets China’s Xi at airport in historic move — as nations agree to trade truce to kick off high-stakes DC visit","claimUrl":"https://www.19fortyfive.com/2026/09/donald-trump-says-he-could-annihilate-iran-in-the-coming-weeks/","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":53,"independentCount":52,"independenceBasis":"52 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates and 1 portal fallback(s) (news.google.com) were excluded; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"AP","wire":true},{"origin":"Bloomberg","wire":true},{"origin":"Reuters","wire":true},{"origin":"TASS","wire":true},{"origin":"Xinhua","wire":true},{"origin":"19fortyfive.com","wire":false},{"origin":"ABC 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